Showing posts with label Tennessee Football. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Tennessee Football. Show all posts

Thursday, January 19, 2012

Derek Dooley: The Once and Future Coach




**The following is part 1 of a 2 part blog examining the subject that is in the forefront of the Tennessee Volunteer universe:  should he stay or should he go?

Part 1-  Why Derek Dooley’s job should not be in question!

In the minds of many Tennessee fans, defending the job that Coach Dooley has done over the past two seasons is a tall order to say the least.  With the lasting memory of the first loss to the University of Kentucky in 27 years seared into their memories, even some of the most level headed and mild-mannered Vol supporters have begun to call for Dooley’s head.  However, a careful examination should always precede a changing of the guard.  Here are my top 5 reasons Dooley should stay:
1.       Another coaching change will mean yet another setback for the program.  With all of the coaching turnover that has taken place since the end of this season, many have proposed that it is simply time to send Dooley packing as well and completely revamp the program.  That would bring about the hiring of Tennessee’s fourth head coach in the last five years.  Is that really what you want for your program?  What this team needs more than anything is some kind of continuity.  The program is still reeling from the departure of the Kiffin administration.  If Dooley leaves, the program will yet again have to start from scratch in rebuilding.  Players and recruits will depart, and those that remain will be forced to adapt to yet another head coach’s style and personality.  It may not sound that bad, but it’s a lot to take on for a group of kids trying to find themselves as people and as football players.  It also begins to quickly diminish the reputation of the UT program.  People begin to view the job, which once was a beacon of stability, as one driven by a trigger happy administration and fan base.  Who would want to take a job where a two year win or be fired precedent is set?  It becomes a job that sets guys up for failure.   
   
2.       You cannot assume that different will equal better. Boy, has Tennessee learned this one the hard way.  There were very few fans rushing to the defense of Coach Philip Fulmer in 2008; because, whoever they hired was going to be better than Phil.  How’s that working out for you?  I don’t think you can make the argument that Derek Dooley is in the upper echelon of collegiate coaches; however, to automatically determine that his replacement will be better is a fallacy.  Name me a guy out there who is a can’t miss hire that would actually take the job?  Perhaps he is out there, but it’s not as simple as it may seem.  Also, it is worth noting that outside of the Kentucky game (which was in every way an embarrassment) Derek Dooley’s team has won every game in which they were favored.  If you believe in the old saying that you have to win the ones you’re supposed to, then Dooley passes that part of the test.  No, just winning those games is not good enough when you are the head coach at Tennessee, but it is easy to take those kind of victories for granted.

3.       Dooley took over a depleted upper-class.  As I alluded to in reason 1, (as well as an earlier blog entry) the Lane Kiffin regime left Dooley an inheritance of a decimated group of Juniors and Seniors.  How good would any program be if you were to take away nearly an entire Jr. class and couple it with a damaged senior class?  I do not necessarily buy the argument that all of UT’s difficulties can be blamed primarily on youth, but I do think that upper-classman leadership is an underrated commodity in college football.  Of course, teams like Alabama and LSU have great young players that are getting the job done, especially on defense; however, take a glance at the fantastic Jr. and Sr. players that are on the field with them leading the way.  Older guys provide an example and a foundation for the younger guys to learn from and build upon, but due to coaching changes, dropped commitments, and transfers, Tennessee’s cupboard was essentially bare of those types of players the past two seasons.

4.       He has managed to recruit reasonably well.  Given the situation in which he took over, Dooley has managed to salvage some very respectable recruiting classes.  Even amidst threats of NCAA sanctions, numerous coaching changes, and sub-par seasons, Dooley has managed to put together 3 (assuming the current class remains near its current no. 12 ranking) consecutive top 15 classes.  However, his problem here is that even being no. 10 or no. 12 often still leaves you no. 6 or no. 7 in the SEC.  Yet, it is still a fairly impressive feat given that Tennessee is not necessarily the natural draw it was ten or so years ago.  Much of this stems from Dooley’s engaging personal manner.  He is an intelligent man and an entertaining speaker.  One would have to imagine that his demeanor, confidence, and articulateness are impressive in the living rooms of recruits.
   
5.       He has managed to keep his players out of trouble.  Everything about Derek Dooley would suggest that he is a man of honesty and integrity.  These are traits that he seems to value in passing onto his players.  If nothing else, one can say that they have seen less Vol players in the blotter during the Dooley era when compared to the Kiffin year or the later part of Fulmer’s tenor.  I am not suggesting that there have not been any instances or that every player associated with the team is now a model citizen, but it does seem that Derek Dooley has instilled a much needed level of discipline in most of his players.  Nothing reflects more poorly on a coach or a school than to repeatedly have incidents in which athletes have legal confrontations.  It is simply embarrassing, and it suggests that the coach does not have control over his team.  Luckily for Dooley, most of his problems have been primarily on the football field.  

Thursday, December 1, 2011

What If? (a look at tennessee football minus Lane Kiffin)

As there are in any equation, many variables will ultimately effect and shape the eventual outcome.  The apparent downward spiral of the University of Tennessee football program (and really athletic program as a whole) is no different.  There are many different variables that led the program down the weary road to where it now finds itself, at the lowest point in program history.  That statement may seem a bit melodramatic, but it is hard to argue when the program has just suffered through its first back-to-back losing seasons for the first time since 1910-1911.  Yes, I would call the worst two seasons in 100 years an all time low for Tennessee football, and although we never could have imagined it at the time, it all began in 2008 with the firing of one Phillip Fulmer.

Now, lots of people will suggest to you that they don't like to deal in “what ifs.”  They will state that it is simply a waste of time to worry and argue over what mighta woulda coulda maybe shoulda if we only knew what was gonna happen.  Seemingly, there isn’t much to gain from these types of conversations except for an ensuing headache.  However, if you are a sports fan, your world is built around the hypothetical.  Think about it; when you are talking sports you likely spend more time talking about might have been and speculating about what could be than you do discussing what actually happened.  It is those conversations and prevailing interest in them that allow sports writers and sports talk radio to even exist. So, in that speculative spirit, let’s examine a couple hypothetical situations concerning Big Orange Football.

Situation #1 Phil Fulmer never gets fired.
It maybe a hard thing to imagine for Vol fans, as most were at least ok with the move to oust Phil, but chances are a Fulmer coached team would have fared better than 5-7 this season.  Understanding this is all guessing and projecting, let’s look at what might have been.  It is difficult to project what players would have been in the line-up three years removed from a Fulmer coached team, but we will make a few assumptions just for kicks.  In the backfield you would almost certainly have Tajh Boyd taking snaps as the Tennessee QB.  The former UT commitment burst on to the national scene this year as he led Clemson to one of their most successful seasons on record.  This multitalented playmaker has proven to be the real deal, leading the ACC in passing yards and touchdowns, and even appeared on many Heisman watch lists earlier in the season.  I am not blaming UT’s past two seasons in any way on Tyler Bray.  Most agree that Bray is an exceptional talent and could be a special player; however, his stats in big match ups when his team is not favored are less than stellar.  Boyd is a proven winner and Tennessee would have been more than happy with him I believe. 
Then there is the defensive side of the ball to consider.  I’m not certain what players may have been on the field for UT, but I do know who would have been in the booth calling the shots, John Chavis.  You can say what you want about how he always gets great talent etc. etc., but the bottom line is the guy oversees outstanding defenses.  Since he made the move to LSU, he has had their defense playing at a national championship level.  It is hard to recall a Chavis defense that was not at least classified as good.

That all being said, I think absolute worst case scenario Fulmer goes 8-4 this year.  Yes, of course, in any season anything could happen and you can never be certain, but let’s run it all down.  UT won 5 games this year; a Fulmer coached team wins all of the same games.  Coach Fulmer simply did not lose to Kentucky, so that gets us to 6 wins.  I think that Tennessee defeats the injury ridden South Carolina team they faced rather easily, which gets you to 7 wins. I also believe that the Florida and Georgia games were both very winnable this year, and I believe we would have won at least one of them with our hypothetical team and staff.  It is worth nothing that Phil lost more than 4 regular season games only once (discounting 2008 when he learned he was being terminated) in his tenure.  His predecessors have lost 5 or more regular season games in the past 3 years.

Situation #2  Derek Dooley is hired immediately after Fulmer.
It is a little known fact that Dooley was interviewed for the job prior to the Lane Kiffin hire in 2009.  What if they would have hired him at that point in time?  Well, first off fans would have probably been upset and confused as to where this guy came from.  They would have not been pleased in the least with the hire I don’t believe.  It is a bit more difficult to project this situation in my opinion but we’ll give it a shot.  You most likely would still have Boyd as your QB.  Tennessee would not have been able to retain Chavis as he would have left when Fulmer did regardless.  So, how would it be any different than what we currently have?  First off, Dooley would not have had to take over a completely depleted program.  Please understand clearly what Lane Kiffin did.  He basically came riding in, kicked off many “Fulmer guys,” replaced them with his own, and then took them and his commitments with him to USC.  Now, it’s a bit more complicated than that but not too much.  Think about how much we have heard about the youth of Tennessee.  It is because they have no Jr. class and a depleted Sr. class!  Kiffin destroyed a whole class of players, and that is just not something that can happen to a school in the SEC if they are going to be successful.  So, Dooley would have inherited a much better roster and recruiting class.  Also, this past year would have been Dooley’s third.  All of his freshmen and sophomores that were all over the field would likely be playing under a Jr. or Sr. that never got destroyed by Kiffin.  I would say at the very worst this team would be 7-5 and going bowling.  This would not be satisfactory for Vol fans, but it would be much better than where we currently find ourselves.

What AB Sees:  Whatever your hypothetical opinion may be, I think one thing is clear, the Fulmer firing and the Lane Kiffin hire has equaled disaster for this storied program.   Tennessee is one of the top 10 college football programs of all time, and Kiffin treated it as merely a footstool to attain his real goal at USC.  Tennessee is in a much better position today if Kiffin is not a black mark on our proud history.  There is plenty of blame to pass around.  Mike Hamilton has certainly paid the price for all that has transpired in Knoxville in recent years, as he is no longer the athletic director.  The whole athletic department has gone south in a hurry under his watch, and he was rightfully held accountable.  Derek Dooley also doesn’t receive a free pass. Yes, he inherited a less than desirable situation, but he knew that when he took the job.  His honeymoon period is long over and he will have to face the fire all year long in the 2012 season.  It is time for him and the Tennessee football team to stop making excuses, accept some blame, and start producing wins.  The Tennessee tradition of excellence demands it!  Tennessee fans are tired of living in the hypothetical. 
Not telling you how it is, just what I see!