Thursday, January 19, 2012

Derek Dooley: The Once and Future Coach




**The following is part 1 of a 2 part blog examining the subject that is in the forefront of the Tennessee Volunteer universe:  should he stay or should he go?

Part 1-  Why Derek Dooley’s job should not be in question!

In the minds of many Tennessee fans, defending the job that Coach Dooley has done over the past two seasons is a tall order to say the least.  With the lasting memory of the first loss to the University of Kentucky in 27 years seared into their memories, even some of the most level headed and mild-mannered Vol supporters have begun to call for Dooley’s head.  However, a careful examination should always precede a changing of the guard.  Here are my top 5 reasons Dooley should stay:
1.       Another coaching change will mean yet another setback for the program.  With all of the coaching turnover that has taken place since the end of this season, many have proposed that it is simply time to send Dooley packing as well and completely revamp the program.  That would bring about the hiring of Tennessee’s fourth head coach in the last five years.  Is that really what you want for your program?  What this team needs more than anything is some kind of continuity.  The program is still reeling from the departure of the Kiffin administration.  If Dooley leaves, the program will yet again have to start from scratch in rebuilding.  Players and recruits will depart, and those that remain will be forced to adapt to yet another head coach’s style and personality.  It may not sound that bad, but it’s a lot to take on for a group of kids trying to find themselves as people and as football players.  It also begins to quickly diminish the reputation of the UT program.  People begin to view the job, which once was a beacon of stability, as one driven by a trigger happy administration and fan base.  Who would want to take a job where a two year win or be fired precedent is set?  It becomes a job that sets guys up for failure.   
   
2.       You cannot assume that different will equal better. Boy, has Tennessee learned this one the hard way.  There were very few fans rushing to the defense of Coach Philip Fulmer in 2008; because, whoever they hired was going to be better than Phil.  How’s that working out for you?  I don’t think you can make the argument that Derek Dooley is in the upper echelon of collegiate coaches; however, to automatically determine that his replacement will be better is a fallacy.  Name me a guy out there who is a can’t miss hire that would actually take the job?  Perhaps he is out there, but it’s not as simple as it may seem.  Also, it is worth noting that outside of the Kentucky game (which was in every way an embarrassment) Derek Dooley’s team has won every game in which they were favored.  If you believe in the old saying that you have to win the ones you’re supposed to, then Dooley passes that part of the test.  No, just winning those games is not good enough when you are the head coach at Tennessee, but it is easy to take those kind of victories for granted.

3.       Dooley took over a depleted upper-class.  As I alluded to in reason 1, (as well as an earlier blog entry) the Lane Kiffin regime left Dooley an inheritance of a decimated group of Juniors and Seniors.  How good would any program be if you were to take away nearly an entire Jr. class and couple it with a damaged senior class?  I do not necessarily buy the argument that all of UT’s difficulties can be blamed primarily on youth, but I do think that upper-classman leadership is an underrated commodity in college football.  Of course, teams like Alabama and LSU have great young players that are getting the job done, especially on defense; however, take a glance at the fantastic Jr. and Sr. players that are on the field with them leading the way.  Older guys provide an example and a foundation for the younger guys to learn from and build upon, but due to coaching changes, dropped commitments, and transfers, Tennessee’s cupboard was essentially bare of those types of players the past two seasons.

4.       He has managed to recruit reasonably well.  Given the situation in which he took over, Dooley has managed to salvage some very respectable recruiting classes.  Even amidst threats of NCAA sanctions, numerous coaching changes, and sub-par seasons, Dooley has managed to put together 3 (assuming the current class remains near its current no. 12 ranking) consecutive top 15 classes.  However, his problem here is that even being no. 10 or no. 12 often still leaves you no. 6 or no. 7 in the SEC.  Yet, it is still a fairly impressive feat given that Tennessee is not necessarily the natural draw it was ten or so years ago.  Much of this stems from Dooley’s engaging personal manner.  He is an intelligent man and an entertaining speaker.  One would have to imagine that his demeanor, confidence, and articulateness are impressive in the living rooms of recruits.
   
5.       He has managed to keep his players out of trouble.  Everything about Derek Dooley would suggest that he is a man of honesty and integrity.  These are traits that he seems to value in passing onto his players.  If nothing else, one can say that they have seen less Vol players in the blotter during the Dooley era when compared to the Kiffin year or the later part of Fulmer’s tenor.  I am not suggesting that there have not been any instances or that every player associated with the team is now a model citizen, but it does seem that Derek Dooley has instilled a much needed level of discipline in most of his players.  Nothing reflects more poorly on a coach or a school than to repeatedly have incidents in which athletes have legal confrontations.  It is simply embarrassing, and it suggests that the coach does not have control over his team.  Luckily for Dooley, most of his problems have been primarily on the football field.  

Thursday, January 12, 2012

The Premature Anointing of James Franklin

Disclaimer:  The following is not as much of an indictment of Vanderbilt Coach James Franklin himself as it is a response to the irrational amount of love the Mid-State media seems determined to shower upon him.

Let me start of on a positive note and just say that I do think Franklin is a good coach and was a quality hire for Vandy.  It’s hard to deny that he seems to have brought a real change of attitude and interjected a wave of confidence that has permeated the Vanderbilt football program. However, if he would devote a bit more of his time to coaching and less time as a salesman of himself, his team might be able to find a way to turn some of those moral victories into actual victories. 

Different coaches have different personalities and styles, and honestly, I don’t mind coaches who tend to display cockiness.  You certainly want your coach to believe strongly in what he is teaching and to believe his team is going to win, but there is also something to be said for exercising some humility from time to time.  While the way Franklin conducts himself in interviews, press conferences, and other media appearances may be entertaining at times, his arrogance and overly cocky demeanor often leaves me asking, “What have you ever won?”  The local media seems insistent lately upon comparing Vandy and Franklin to UT and Dooley.  The topic of discussion is logical enough, but the eternal praise they pour upon Franklin would make you think he’s just one step shy of being the football equivalent of the “second coming.”  On the other hand, Derek Dooley receives almost 100% negative coverage.  (Yes much of the Dooley criticism is warranted, but I will not spend any time here discussing Dooley for the sake of brevity.)  However the tiebreaker in most situations will always revert to head to head competition and who prevailed.  As I recall, Tennessee and Vanderbilt did play this year right?  How did it go?  I am not suggesting that a coach defeating another coach in one game definitely proves he is superior; however, if you believe that coach A is significantly better than Coach B, you would expect Coach A to win more often than not, especially when Coach A’s team is favored. Just saying.

The bottom line is that Vandy was 6-7 this year.  No, that’s not a bad season bad Vanderbilt standards, but it seems odd that the coach of a 6-7 team has emerged the apparent “anointed one” in the eyes of the media.  I would posit that James Franklin has yet to do much more than Bobby Johnson was able to do at Vandy(not to mention his "unbelievable season" came using Johnson's players); Franklin has simply been much more outspoken in doing it.  What is Franklin’s signature win that proves he is poised for greatness?  Should wins against Wake Forest, Connecticut, and Ole Miss really render you the Great White Hope?  I know Vandy fans are very excited about the current direction of the program and rightfully so, but I would be fairly cautious of my expectations becoming too great too quickly if I was Vandy fan.  The reason being is that you are headed for a brutal 7 game stretch to open the 2012 season and you're going to be favored in 1, maybe 2 of those games.  Thus, you're staring down the barrel of probably starting next year 1-6 or 2-5 at best.  That is really going to make the remainder of the season an uphill climb.  Also, you likely find yourself coachless in a year or two when Franklin moves on and you realize your team was little more than a spring board for the man to which you have devoted your heart.  He will also take many of his recruits with him and you will find your cupboard more bare than when Franklin first arrived.  I hate to say it but I see a lot of similarities between Franklin and Lane Kiffin.  How's that working out for Tennessee right now?  I suppose though, as with all things, only time will tell!

Friday, January 6, 2012

Staff Picks for the NFL Playoff! You kidding me!!

The staff sat down earlier this week and wrote down our picks.  Please leave a comment, or better yet call into the show to tell us how right you think we are or perhaps how dumb we are!




Stan’s Picks
Offensive ROY - Cam Newton.  He set Peyton Manning's rookie passing yards record which should have secured everyones vote.  A.J. Green deservedly gets honorable mention.

Defensive ROY - Aldon Smith.  He was a half sack shy of tying Jevon Kearse's rookie sack record of 14.5 so he gets my vote.  Von Miller deservedly gets honorable mention.

Offensive POY - Drew Brees.  His new 5,476 passing yards in a season record will likely stand for a very long time.

Defensive POY - Jason Pierre-Paul.  Lost in the obscurity of playing for a bad defensive team, Pierre-Paul has put up insane numbers including 86 Tackles(20+ more than the next defensive lineman), 16.5 sacks, and a blocked kick.

MVP - Aaron Rodgers.  A 122.5 QB Rating along with 46 touchdown passes to only 6 interceptions while leading the Packers to a 15-1 record and homefield advantage throughout the playoff...yeah it's a no brainer.

Coach of the Year - Gary Kubiak.  Probably a huge dark horse to win the award, he did a remarkable job keeping the Texans focused on the task at hand dealing with injuries at key positions all season.  Credit coaching for having backups who step in and perform at a high level.

Surprise Playoff Team - New York Giants.  Eli Manning is the most under appreciated player in the NFL.  This team has major talent and players with postseason experience.  Not to mention a defense that is opportunistic at creating turnovers....this recipe was successful for the Saints and Packers in recent years.

AFC Playoffs
Bengals at Texans.....Texans
Steelers at Broncos.....Steelers

Steelers at Patriots.....Patriots
Texans at Ravens.....Ravens

AFC Champion: Ravens

NFC Playoffs
Lions at Saints.....Saints
Falcons at Giants.....Giants

Saints at 49ers.....Saints
Giants at Packers.....Packers

NFC Champion: Packers

Super Bowl
Packers vs Ravens.....Packers
AB’s Picks
MVP- Aaron Rodgers (Packers)     Rodgers has managed to discount-double-check his way through one of the better seasons in recent memory.  His play has been nothing short of artistic, and his passing numbers are not quite as big as Brees or Brady only because the Pack have had comfortable leads they could sit on in many of their games.

Offensive POY-Drew Brees (Saints)    NFL record holder for passing yards in a season is enough said.

Defensive POY-Terrell Suggs (Ravens)   With the Ravens defensive getting a bit older; Suggs has really stepped up this year and has put up some gaudy stats across the board.  His play is one of the main reasons the Raven’s defensive is still feared.

Offensive ROY-Cam Newton(Panthers)  The guy threw for over 4,000 yards as a rookie, and you may not see that again for a long time.  I’d say this rookie record holder answered all those who weren’t sure if he could play at this level.
Defensive ROY-  Von Miller(Broncos)   At the midway point in the year this guy was a serious candidate for overall POY honors.  He has cooled down a bit but still gets my nod for biggest first year difference maker on that side of the ball.

Coach of the Year- Gary Kubiak/Wade Phillips(Texans)    The Texans have experienced so much adversity this season but continued to win and keep their squad where they need to be, in the playoffs.  If Kubiak wins this award he should somehow share it with Phillips who has done a masterful job with that defense all year.

Playoff Picks: 
Sleeper Team:  Steelers-Sounds strange to have them as a sleeper, but as a no. 5 I think they qualify.  They have an excellent defense and a team full of guys who know how to win.
AFC
Wild Card:
Cincinnati vs. Houston:  Two rookie QB’s make for a unique playoff matchup.  Cincinnati pulls out a hard fought victory.
Pittsburgh vs. Denver:  I would like to see Tebow pull this one out, but I just don’t think they will be able to put up enough points to come away with the win. Steelers win.
Divisional:
Cincinnati vs New England:  Don’t see Andy Dalton and company pulling this upset.  Pats win.
Pittsburgh vs. Baltimore:  Battle of two great defenses, but my sleeper keeps rolling as Steelers win.
Championship:
Pittsburgh vs. New England:  Gotta stick with my pick, Steelers pull it off.
NFC
Wild Card:
Detroit vs. New Orleans:  The Lions have had a great year and are a great young team, however Brees and that offense will be too much to handle.  Saints win.
Atlanta vs. New York Giants:  Atlanta is the sexy, but Eli has quietly had an outstanding year and don’t think you can count the Giants out: Giants win.
Divisional:
New Orleans vs. San Francisco: Saints keep marching.
New York vs. Green Bay:  Awfully hard to bet against Rodgers, so I won’t. Green Bay wins.
Championship:
New Orleans vs. Green Bay:  What a matchup!  This is the game to watch in the whole playoff picture. Packers pull it out in a classic game.

Superbowl:
Steelers vs. Packers:  Great offense vs. great defense. Defense wins championships according to the old adage.  With that being said, Packers repeat 28-13.

Brian’s Picks
1.
 Rookie of the Year – Cam Newton
Defensive Rookie of the Year – Aldon Smith
Offensive Player of the Year – Rob Gronkowski
Defensive Player of the Year – Terrell Suggs
Coach of the Year – Jim Harbaugh
MVP – Drew Brees     
2.
The Detroit Lions can put up a ton of points, so I want to pick them to be my sleeper of the playoffs. 
3. 
AFC Wildcard Round
Cin vs. Hou (Hou)
Pit vs. Den (Pit)
Divisional Round
Pit vs. NE (NE)
Hou vs. Bal (Hou)
Conference Championship
Hou vs. NE (NE)
4.
NFC Wildcard Round
Det vs. NO (Det)
Atl vs. NYG (Atl)
Divisional Round
Det vs. SF (Det)
Atl vs. GB (GB)
Conference Championship
Det vs. GB (Det)
5.
Superbowl
Detroit Lions vs. New England Patriots
New England Wins!! 42-35

Andrew’s Picks
Offensive ROY – Cam Newton – All he did was break Peyton Manning's rookie   record for passing yards, and set the QB record for rushing TD's in a   season.

Defensive ROY – Aldon Smith – Flip a coin between him and Von Miller. They     were both spectacular. I went with Smith since he had 14 sacks, compared             to 11.5 for Miller.

Offensive POY – Drew Brees – Broke Dan Marion's single season record for         passing yards, and had 46 TD's to boot.

Defensive POY – Jared Allen – He played on a horrible team, but it was no fault   of his. His 22 sacks was .5 a sack shy of tying the single season record.

NFL MVP – Aaron Rodgers – He was doing the “Discount Double-Check” quite often this season. His 122.5 QB rating was almost 12 points higher than         Brees. He threw 45 TD's to 6 Ints. That is the definition of a “Wow” stat!

Coach of the Year – Jim Harbaugh – The Niners were 6-10 in 2010, and      Harbaugh got them to 13-3 this season. Also, they are in the playoffs for the first time since 2002.

Potential Surprise Playoff Team – Houston Texans – Their running game is outstanding, and they rank 2nd in the league in total defense. If TJ Yates plays well, the Texans could make some serious noise.

Playoff Predictions – AFC
            Bengals @ Texans – Texans
            Steelers @ Broncos – Steelers

            Steelers @ Patriots – Patriots
            Texans @ Ravens – Ravens

            AFC Champ – New England Patriots

Playoff Predictions – NFC
            Lions @ Saints – Saints
            Falcons @ Giants – Giants

            Giants @ Packers – Packers
            Saints @ 49ers – Saints

            NFC Champ – Green Bay Packers

Super Bowl – Green Bay – 38  New England – 24

Mark’s Picks
MVP - Aaron Rodgers
Off. ROY - Cam Newton
Def. ROY - Von Miller
Coach of Year - Jim Harbaugh
 
Picks
Atl - 35
NY - 28
 
Pitt - 31
Den - 14
 
Super Bowl
 
Green Bay - 34
New England – 17
Yup, that’s all we got from Mark! 

Gary not present.